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Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 was a record quarter: Adjusted EBITDA reached $136.0M (+27% YoY), net income was $45.6M ($0.85/unit), and net revenues were $261.3M; management raised full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $500–$520M .
- Versus consensus, DKL beat revenue ($261.3M vs $253.6M*) but missed EPS ($0.85 vs $1.04*); EBITDA comparison is mixed given definitional differences (company GAAP EBITDA $102.0M vs consensus $129.6M*) .
- Operationally, Delaware crude oil gathering hit record volumes; Libby 2 commissioning completed and AGI/sour gas treating capabilities progressed, supporting capacity fill and potential earlier expansion (Libby 3) .
- Distribution increased for the 51st consecutive quarter to $1.120/unit; leverage ratio was ~4.44x with ~$1.0B revolver availability, reinforcing liquidity while funding growth .
- Stock narrative catalyst: guidance raise, record crude volumes, and sour gas infrastructure execution; risks include wholesale margin exposure and JV income variability .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record Adjusted EBITDA ($136.0M, +27% YoY) on H2O/Gravity contributions, W2W dropdown impacts, and higher wholesale margins; full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $500–$520M .
- Delaware crude gathering volumes hit a record; Libby 2 commissioning completed; AGI/sour gas treating progressing to fill plant and enable potential earlier expansion: “AGI and sour gas handling… enabling DKL to fill the plant to capacity and paving the way for further processing capacity expansions” .
- Strong JV performance (Wink to Webster) lifted equity income to $21.9M in Q3; CFO: “that’s a good run rate of what to expect going forward” .
What Went Wrong
- EPS missed consensus (actual $0.85 vs $1.04*), highlighting sensitivity to lease accounting reclassifications and financing costs; wholesale segment Adjusted EBITDA fell YoY ($21.4M vs $24.7M) after Big Spring marketing assignment to Delek US .
- Net income margin declined sequentially (17.44% in Q3 vs 18.09% in Q2*) amid higher depreciation and interest expense linked to growth capex and debt issuance *.
- Natural gas gathering throughput fell YoY (62,692 Mcfd vs 75,719 Mcfd), reflecting evolving producer mix and the pivot to sour treatment needs .
Financial Results
Q3 2025 vs Consensus (S&P Global):
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Margins Trend
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Adjusted EBITDA
Key Operating KPIs
Guidance Changes
Management did not provide revenue/margin/OpEx/OI&E/tax rate guidance in Q3 materials; forward guidance focused on Adjusted EBITDA and capital program execution .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We reported approximately $136 million in quarterly adjusted EBITDA… increased full-year EBITDA guidance… between $500 and $520 million” .
- “Libby 2 gas plant… AGI and sour gas handling capabilities are enabling DKL to fill the plant to capacity and paving the way for further processing capacity expansions” .
- “Record crude [gathering]… strength has continued in the fourth quarter… transition to full-suite service provider” .
- CFO: “Approximately $1 billion of availability on our credit facilities… flexibility to continue executing our growth agenda” .
- On JVs: “Most of [equity income] was impacted by strong performance… Wink to Webster… year-to-date is a good run rate” .
Q&A Highlights
- Treating capacity ramp and producer activity: Management accelerated sour programs due to producer needs; confident in filling Libby 2 and potentially expanding sooner .
- Capex and 2026 flexibility: 2026 plan under development; guidance to be provided next quarter; Q3 capex ~$50M with $44M growth capex focused on Libby 2 optimization and new connections .
- Sustainability of JV equity income: Wink to Webster drove strength; year-to-date run-rate viewed as reasonable going forward .
- Water landscape and competition: DKL sees favorable gas/oil and water/crude ratios; believes H2O and Gravity were acquired at attractive valuations; SWD permitting constraints create strategic advantage .
- AGI capacity adequacy for future expansions: “Very happy with our permitted capacity on the acid gas side… do not see any near-term restrictions” .
Estimates Context
- Revenue beat: Actual $261.3M vs consensus $253.6M*; EPS miss: $0.85 vs $1.04* .
- EBITDA comparison is nuanced: S&P Global EBITDA consensus $129.6M* vs company GAAP EBITDA $102.0M; company emphasizes Adjusted EBITDA $136.0M (non-GAAP) .
- Implications: Street likely raises revenue/Adjusted EBITDA trajectory on stronger volumes and execution, but may revisit EPS frameworks to reflect lease accounting impacts and higher interest/depreciation. Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Guidance raised to $500–$520M Adjusted EBITDA on strong execution; record crude volumes and progressing sour gas infrastructure are positive drivers .
- Distribution increased to $1.120/unit (51st consecutive raise); coverage improved to 1.24x as adjusted, supporting continued capital returns .
- Operational mix shift: wholesale weaker YoY post Big Spring assignment, but offset by stronger Gathering & Processing and JV contributions .
- Near-term catalysts: Libby 2 optimization, AGI commissioning milestones, producer drilling response to sour solutions; watch for potential Libby complex expansion timing updates .
- Balance sheet/liquidity: ~$1.0B revolver availability and ~4.44x leverage provide flexibility to fund growth while maintaining coverage targets .
- Risk watch: throughput variability (gas vs sour mix), wholesale margin exposure, JV performance normalization; monitor regulatory constraints on SWD permitting in Delaware Basin .
- Positioning: Full-suite Permian offering (crude, gas, water) with strategic AGI capability underpins medium-term growth and potential earlier capacity expansions .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.